Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 36.02% ( | 24.99% ( | 38.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( | 45.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( | 68.01% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( | 24.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( | 59.41% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( | 23.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( | 57.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.99% |