Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 2.15am
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Hirving Lozano 20' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 20' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 27' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 27' goal
  • Jeppe Tverskov 55' yellowcard
  • Jeppe Tverskov 55' yellowcard
  • Anders Dreyer 56' goal
  • Anders Dreyer 56' goal
  • Onni Valakari 73' goal
  • Onni Valakari 73' goal
  • Milan Iloski 87' goal
  • Milan Iloski 87' goal
  • yellowcard Osaze Urhoghide 36'
  • yellowcard Osaze Urhoghide 36'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 76'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 76'

San Diego vs Dallas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 12.30am
San Diego 1 - 3 Salt Lake
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Anders Dreyer

Dallas

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 10.00pm
Inter Miami 3 - 4 Dallas
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Petar Musa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Diego would win this match.

Result

San Diego 43.81% (+0.44)
Draw 23.52% (+0.04)
Dallas 32.66% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.17% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.49% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 39.5% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 38.15% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 61.85% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 20.67% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 79.32% (+0.28)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 81.61% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 18.38% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 50.48% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 49.52% (-0.08)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5 76.18% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 23.82% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 42.01% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 57.99% (+0.62)

Score analysis

San Diego 43.81%
Draw 23.52%
Dallas 32.66%
San Diego
2-1 @ 9.01% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.42% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.28% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.09% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.55% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.15% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 43.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.38% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.52%
Dallas
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.28% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.66%