Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Diego would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Diego | Draw | Austin FC |
| 58.24% ( | 22.09% ( | 19.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.76% ( | 44.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( | 66.62% ( |
| San Diego Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( | 14.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.75% ( | 43.25% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.61% ( | 36.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.82% ( | 73.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Diego | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 3% ( 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 5-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.67% |