Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 47.82% ( | 22.9% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.79% ( | 38.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.51% ( | 60.49% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( | 16.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( | 45.9% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( | 25.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( | 60% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 5-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.57% Total : 47.82% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.28% |