Major League Soccer
Montreal
May 17, 2025 7.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Joel Waterman 21' redcard
  • Fernando Alvarez 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jalen Neal 57' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Vrioni 64' goal
  • Dante Sealy 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 9'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 14'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 30'
  • goal Ola Brynhildsen 33'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 55'
  • goal Theo Corbeanu 66'
  • goal Theo Corbeanu 90'+1'

CF Montreal vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 11, 2025 12.30am
NY City 0 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Prince Osei Owusu

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2025 9.30pm
Toronto 2 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result

CF Montreal 47.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 25.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Toronto 27.11% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.4% ▲ (+0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.47% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 49.53% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 28.44% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 3.5 71.56% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 4.5 13.61% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 4.5 86.39% ▼ (-0.25)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 79.25% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 20.75% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 46.62% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 53.38% ▼ (-0.32)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 67.38% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 0.5 32.61% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 1.5 30.84% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 69.15% ▼ (-0.26)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 47.79%
Draw 25.09%
Toronto 27.11%
CF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.64% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.09%
Toronto
0-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Ariel Lassiter 30' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 30' yellowcard
  • goal Richie Laryea 38'
  • goal Richie Laryea 38'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 53'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 53'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 74'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 74'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 85'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 85'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 19, 2024 12.30am
5
1
HT : 6 0
FT BMO Field
Montreal
  • Matty Longstaff 6' goal
  • Matty Longstaff 6' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 12' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 12' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 19' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 19' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 58' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 58' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 60' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 60' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 67'
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 67'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 4
FT BMO Field
Montreal
  • Brandon Servania 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Brandon Servania 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 66' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 66' goal
  • Raoul Petretta 77' redcard
  • Raoul Petretta 77' redcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+4' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+4' goal
  • goal Mathieu Choiniere 18'
  • goal Mathieu Choiniere 18'
  • goal Aime Mabika 25' (OG)
  • goal Aime Mabika 25' (OG)
  • goal Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • goal Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 90'+3'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
May 14, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Lassi Lappalainen 53' goal
  • Lassi Lappalainen 53' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 68' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 68' goal
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
3
4
HT : 2 3
FT
Montreal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 5' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 7' goal
  • Domenico Criscito 23' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 83' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3' goal
  • goal Kamal Miller 19'
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 21'
  • goal Kei Kamara 43'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 45'+1'
  • goal Alistair Johnston 54'
  • yellowcard Romell Quioto 75'
  • yellowcard Mason Toye 83'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Toronto
  • Kamal Miller 57' yellowcard
  • Lukas MacNaughton 69' goal
  • Kamal Miller 81' redcard
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 46'

Form Data

Montreal 1 - 1 Columbus Crew
NY City 0 - 1 Montreal
Montreal 1 - 2 Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 Montreal
Montreal 0 - 0 Orlando City
Montreal 0 - 1 Charlotte FC
Toronto 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Toronto 2 - 0 DC United
Toronto 0 - 2 New England
Toronto 0 - 1 NY City
Salt Lake 0 - 1 Toronto
Toronto 0 - 0 Minnesota Utd