Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Dallas win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 36.9% ( | 24.15% ( | 38.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% ( | 41.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.99% ( | 64.01% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( | 22.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( | 56.04% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( | 21.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.52% ( | 54.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.95% |