Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Dallas win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.