Seattle Sounders
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 24, 2025 at 8pm UK
CenturyLink Field
FC Dallas

Seattle
1 - 0
Dallas

Rusnak (86' pen.)
Rusnak (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramiro (10'), Abubakar (44'), Musa (85'), da Silva Ferreira (90+5'), Urhoghide (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Seattle Sounders and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Portland 1-1 Seattle
Sunday, May 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Dallas

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 0-2 Houston
Sunday, May 18 at 2.25am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawDallas
67.62% (-0.155 -0.16)18.5% (0.074000000000002 0.07)13.87% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.72% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.43% (-0.168 -0.17)38.56% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.14% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)60.86% (0.175 0.17)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)10.47% (0.083 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (-0.194 -0.19)34.11% (0.19 0.19)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35% (0.0040000000000013 0)76.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 67.62%
    Dallas 13.87%
    Draw 18.5%
Seattle SoundersDrawDallas
2-0 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 8.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.52% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 67.62%
1-1 @ 8.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.5%
1-2 @ 3.97% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.84% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.76% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 13.87%

How you voted: Seattle vs Dallas

Seattle Sounders
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Dallas
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2025 1.30am
Dallas
0-1
Seattle

da Silva Ferreira (8'), Norris (28'), Cafumana (64'), Acosta (65')
Musovski (17')
Musovski (25'), Leyva (66')
> Preview
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
3-2
Dallas
Ruidiaz (78'), Morris (88', 90+4')
Vargas (80')
Delgado (66'), Musa (70')
Musa (28'), Sealy (89')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
0-0
Seattle
Sealy (45'), Arriola (73')
Nov 11, 2023 3am
Seattle
1-0
Dallas
Rusnak (36')

Obrian (35'), Twumasi (71'), Arriola (85')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2023 1am
Dallas
3-1
Seattle
Arriola (6'), Ferreira (18' pen.), Obrian (89')
Arriola (30'), Pomykal (60'), Illarramendi (72')
Morris (48')
Tolo (10'), Gomez Andrade (21'), Atencio (52')
> Preview