Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.