Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Kaishu Sano 11' goal
  • Stefan Posch 19' goal
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 69' yellowcard
  • Armindo Sieb 69' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 70' yellowcard
  • William Bøving 70' yellowcard
  • Kacper Potulski 80' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 89' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Emegha 64'
  • yellowcard Diego Moreira 64'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Emegha 65'
  • yellowcard Diego Moreira 65'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nanasi 85'

Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Strasbourg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 41.98% (+0.08)
Draw 26.31%
Strasbourg 31.72% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.34% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.45% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 27.55% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 47.87% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 52.13% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.31% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 73.69% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 14.45% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.55% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 29.14%
Draw 42.36%
Strasbourg 28.49%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 46.71% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.97% (+0.05)
Strasbourg 45.32% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.3% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.95%
Under 8 37.75% (+0.03)
Over 9 38.82% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.48% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.7% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 28.67% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 71.33% (+0.02)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 39.26% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 60.74% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.23% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 83.77% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.33%
Under 3.5 94.67%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 64.77% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 35.23% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 31.67% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 68.33% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.97%
Under 3.5 96.03%

Score analysis

Mainz 05 41.98%
Draw 26.31%
Strasbourg 31.73%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 10.98% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.45% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.7% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.15%
Total : 41.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.31%
Strasbourg
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 31.73%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Aug 9, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT