World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2024 at 5pm UK

FNB Stadium

Madagascar
2 - 1
Comoros

Raveloson (1', 66')
Niaina Rabemananjara (3'), Amada (26'), Manovo Mataniah Randrianarijaona (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fardou Ben (90+4')
Abdullah (7'), M'Dahoma (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Madagascar and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Comoros

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Comoros 0-0 Angola
Monday, March 25 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 42.73%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 28.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.

Result
Madagascar	Draw	Comoros
42.73% ( -0.23)	28.94% ( 0.01)	28.32% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 43.23% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.02% (

0.06)

62.98% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.55% (

0.04)

82.45% (

-0.04)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

-0.1)

29.23% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

-0.12)

65.19% (

0.12)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.09% (

0.22)

38.91% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.36% (

0.2)

75.64% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Madagascar 42.72%

Comoros 28.32%

Draw 28.94%

Madagascar	Draw	Comoros
1-0 @ 13.98% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 42.72%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.94%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 28.32%