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Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Rennes

Lorient
0 - 2
Rennes

FT(HT: 0-0)
Laborde (75'), Doku (78')
Majer (32'), Doku (83')

Preview: Lorient vs. Rennes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

High-flying Rennes take a short trip within Brittany to the Stade Yves Allainmat where they will face Lorient in a Breton derby on Sunday afternoon.

The visitors continue to exceed expectations, currently sitting third in the table, whilst their hosts come into the game on a very poor run of form.


Match preview

Lorient's Armand Lauriente celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 10, 2021© Reuters

A reasonably positive start to the season is now a distant memory for Lorient, as their winless run was extended to seven games with a 1-0 loss at Angers last weekend.

The game was evenly matched for the most part, but Thomas Mangani's penalty in the 68th minute - after a foul on the edge of the area by Samuel Loric on his debut - was enough to secure all three points.

That result makes it just one win from Les Merlus' last 27 away league games, which is the fewest of any team in Europe's top five leagues who have been involved in the last two seasons.

The worrying statistics do not end there - Christophe Pelissier's side now also have the longest run without a win of any side in the division, and have dropped to 14th place, just two points above the relegation playoff position.

They must aim to turn this run of form around as soon as possible, but will be taking on a team high on confidence and a long way up the table on Sunday.

Stade Rennes' Gaetan Laborde celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on November 25, 2021© Reuters

Aside from a brief flip in mid-September, where they suffered back-to-back 2-0 defeats against Reims and Marseille, Rennes have been producing the goods week in week out in both Ligue 1 and the Europa Conference League this season.

They have not tasted defeat since that loss at Marseille - a run of 12 games which has featured five straight victories and eight wins in the last 10.

Last weekend saw another comfortable 2-0 victory in the league, with first half goals from Martin Terrier and Lovro Majer putting Les Rennais in control and their defence of that lead made far easier when Montpellier were reduced to 10 men shortly before the break.

Things were less straightforward in Europe on Thursday, however, where a Gaetan Laborde hat-trick had put Rennes 3-1 up at home to Vitesse with just 20 minutes remaining, but two late goals saw the match end 3-3.

Bruno Genesio will have been disappointed to see his side throw away a win from a strong position, but they will surely remain confident heading into this game nonetheless.

Lorient Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Rennes Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Rennes form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Belgium's Jeremy Doku celebrates scoring against Iceland in the UEFA Nations League on September 8, 2020© Reuters

Lorient have a long list of injury doubts - if not confirmed absences as yet - with Thomas Monconduit (thigh), Vincent Le Goff (muscle), Jeremy Morel (muscle), Fabien Lemoine (calf) and Moritz Jenz (muscle) all expected to be out.

Pelissier will be able to welcome back Jerome Hergault, however, who has served his suspension and will come straight back into central midfield.

Rennes have three players returning from suspension - Warmed Omari, Baptiste Santamaria and Kamaldeen Sulemana - with the latter two expected to return to the starting XI.

Jeremy Doku came off the bench in the week, but it will likely be too soon to see the Belgian start from the first whistle.

Lorient possible starting lineup:
Nardi; Mendes, Laporte, Fontaine; Silva, Lauriente, Le Fee, Hergault, Boisgard; Moffi, Grbic

Rennes possible starting lineup:
Gomis; Traore, Bade, Aguerd, Truffert; Bourigeaud, Martin, Santamaria, Sulemana; Terrier, Laborde


SM words green background

We say: Lorient 1-2 Rennes

Local derbies always throw a curveball into the mix but Rennes still go into this match as favourites. Eight victories in their last 10 games is too strong to ignore and Lorient look set to see their winless run continue.






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Written by
James Mackenzie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Lorient vs Rennes

Lorient
19.4%
Draw
9.7%
Rennes
71.0%
31
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Jeremy Doku pictured for Belgium Under-17s in 2018
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient16103330151533
2Paris FCParis FC1694324131131
3Metz1685324131129
4DunkerqueDunkerque159152320328
5Annecy167632318527
6Laval167452517825
7GuingampGuingamp168172622425
8AmiensAmiens167272021-123
9Bastia1641021614222
10PauPau166461819-122
11Rodez AFRodez AF165562926320
12Grenoble165381820-218
13Troyes165381519-418
14Red Star165381628-1218
15Clermont164571419-517
16Caen154381721-415
17Ajaccio164391017-715
18Martigues162311834-269


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