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Liverpool logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Anfield
Milan logo

Liverpool
3 - 2
AC Milan

Tomori (9' og.), Salah (49'), Henderson (69')
Milner (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rebic (42'), Diaz (44')
Bennacer (13'), Diaz (61')

Preview: Liverpool vs. AC Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Liverpool and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In a repeat of the 2005 and 2007 Champions League finals, Liverpool and AC Milan kick off the 2021-22 edition with a mouthwatering affair at Anfield on Wednesday.

The Reds go in search of their seventh European crown this year, while Milan are aiming to come up trumps on the continental stage for the eighth time.


Match preview

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured on August 28, 2021© Reuters

The headlines from Liverpool's win over Leeds United at the weekend should have been centred around Mohamed Salah's 100th Premier League goal, but a horror injury to Harvey Elliott overshadowed what was otherwise a good day's work for the Reds at Elland Road.

Salah, Sadio Mane and Fabinho were all on target during a 3-0 win, but 18-year-old Elliott - who had begun to establish himself as a regular starter under Jurgen Klopp - was stretchered off with a dislocated ankle following a challenge from Pascal Struijk and is now set to go under the knife to rectify the issue.

Klopp has affirmed that Liverpool will "wait" for Elliott as he begins the long road to recovery, but the Reds cannot afford to dwell on the teenager's poor fortunes for a second as they seek to better their quarter-final finish in last season's Champions League, where Real Madrid sent them packing.

Having claimed three wins and three clean sheets from four Premier League matches so far this term - as well as extending their unbeaten streak to 13 matches in competitive action - Liverpool will seek a fast start to action in Group B, which also comprises Iberian giants Porto and Atletico Madrid.

Liverpool can also take encouragement from the fact that they have recorded three successive clean sheets in their last three Champions League home matches, and only one of their group-stage games at Anfield under Klopp has ended in defeat, although that came last season in a 2-0 loss to Atalanta BC.

AC Milan head coach Stefano Pioli pictured in August 2021© Reuters

Despite not being able to maintain a Scudetto charge in the 2020-21 top-flight campaign, AC Milan have once again started as they mean to go on with three wins out of three in Serie A so far, including a 2-0 success against Lazio on Sunday.

After Rafael Leao had opened the scoring on the stroke of half time, ageless striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic - now three weeks shy of his 40th birthday - came off the bench to wrap up the victory as the Rossoneri maintained their perfect start alongside Roma and Napoli.

The 2021-22 season marks AC Milan's return to the promised land of the Champions League after a painful eight-year absence from the top table - during which time they have only mustered two last-16 finishes in the Europa League - and five of their last six runs in the Champions League have also ended at that stage.

Wednesday's game will mark the first time that AC Milan have stepped foot onto the pitch for a Champions League tie since going down 4-1 to Atletico Madrid in the 2013-14 last-16 - not exactly a good omen with the La Liga champions also in their group - and they have claimed just one win from their last 13 ties against English opponents.

The miracle of Istanbul still lives fresh in the minds of the Liverpool faithful, but AC Milan gleaned revenge two years later with a 2-1 victory in the 2007 final, which represents the most recent meeting between two sides with 13 European titles between them.

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

AC Milan form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Liverpool's Harvey Elliott reacts as he receives medical attention after sustaining an injury© Reuters

Stricken teenager Elliott joins Neco Williams and Roberto Firmino in the Liverpool treatment room, with the latter yet to recover from a hamstring injury as Diogo Jota continues to lead the line.

Jordan Henderson was benched at the weekend but ought to come back in following Elliott's injury, while Alisson Becker and Fabinho were both cleared to play at Elland Road after the FIFA-imposed ban on Brazilian players was waived.

A goal here for Sadio Mane would represent his 20th in the Champions League, seeing him become the fourth African player after Mohamed Salah, Samuel Eto'o and Didier Drogba to hit that milestone.

As for AC Milan, Olivier Giroud should be cleared to take part in this fixture after recovering from coronavirus, and the former Chelsea man will hope to reclaim his rightful place in attack over Ibrahimovic - who has been ruled out through injury - and Ante Rebic.

Tiemoue Bakayoko - who was allegedly the target of racist abuse at the weekend - lasted just 13 minutes as a substitute before going off injured against Lazio and is set for scans this week to determine the severity of the problem, while fellow midfielder Rade Krunic remains out.

Fikayo Tomori continues to flourish in the Milan backline since making the move from Chelsea and should once again partner Alessio Romagnoli in front of Mike Maignan at Anfield.

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Matip, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Thiago; Salah, Jota, Mane

AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Calabria, Tomori, Romagnoli, Hernandez; Kessie, Tonali; Florenzi, Diaz, Leao; Rebic


SM words green background

We say: Liverpool 1-1 AC Milan

With both of these European giants making fast starts to their domestic title challenges and seeking to carry that momentum over to continental competition, a tense and closely-fought affair should be in store on Merseyside.

There may be brief but well-documented history between Liverpool and AC Milan in the Champions League, but we are struggling to see either side gaining the upper hand and are backing a score draw in Wednesday's opener.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Liverpool vs AC Milan

Liverpool
64.7%
Draw
19.5%
AC Milan
15.8%
651
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Liverpool's Harvey Elliott reacts as he receives medical attention after sustaining an injury
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
QBayern651016
QCopenhagen62228
3Galatasaray61235
4Man Utd61144

Group B

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QArsenal641113
QPSV62319
3Lens62228
4Sevilla60242

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
QReal Madrid660018
QNapoli631210
3Braga61144
4Union Berlin60242

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
QReal Sociedad633012
QInter Milan633012
3Benfica61144
4Salzburg61144

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
QAtletico642014
QLazio631210
3Feyenoord62046
4Celtic61144

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
QDortmund632111
QPSG62228
3AC Milan62228
4Newcastle61235

Group G

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QMan City660018
QRB Leipzig640212
3Young Boys61144
4Red Star60151

Group H

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QBarcelona640212
QPorto640212
3Shakhtar63039
4Antwerp61053


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