Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Åråsen Stadion
  • Ruben Gabrielsen 52' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Gómez 25'
  • goal Sergio Gómez 27'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Sarr 30'
  • goal Luka Sucic 33'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorrotxategi 56'
  • goal Orri Óskarsson 64'
  • goal Luka Sucic 72'
  • goal Arsen Zakharyan 80'

Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lillestrom

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%).

Result

Lillestrom 34.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 23.54%
Real Sociedad 42.35% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.77% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 61.45% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 38.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 38.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 61.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 23.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 76.56% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Lillestrom 32.84%
Draw 36.52%
Real Sociedad 30.64%

Team To Score First

Lillestrom 47.09%
No Goal 4.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Real Sociedad 48.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.1%
Equal 8 10.38%
Under 8 24.51%
Over 9 53.95%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 34.9%
Over 10.5 42.93%
Under 10.5 57.07%

Lillestrom Goals

Over 1.5 39.84% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 60.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 17.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 82.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 75.03%
Under 0.5 24.97%
Over 1.5 46.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 22.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 77.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.62% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lillestrom 34.08%
Draw 23.54%
Real Sociedad 42.36%
Lillestrom
2-1 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 34.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.54%
Real Sociedad
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.79%
0-3 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.51%
Other @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.36%