Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Valenciennes	Draw	Auxerre
38.09% ( 1.49)	27.55% ( 0.03)	34.36% ( -1.51)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.36% (

-0.19)

56.64% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.39% (

-0.15)

77.6% (

0.15)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

0.8)

28.8% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35% (

0.98)

64.64% (

-0.98)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

-1.05)

31.1% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

-1.25)

67.42% (

1.26)

Score Analysis

Valenciennes 38.09%

Auxerre 34.35%

Draw 27.55%

Valenciennes	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.09%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.35%