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Saint-Etienne
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
Jun 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
2 - 0
Valenciennes

Krasso (48'), Bamba (81')
Cafaro (45+1'), Appiah (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kantari (46'), Cuffaut (73'), Bonnet (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 2 clash between Saint-Etienne and Valenciennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caen 2-2 St Etienne
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 1-0 Grenoble
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

We said: Saint-Etienne 2-2 Valenciennes

With a point all that will surely be required, Valenciennes should find enough to pick one up given their strong recent form. St. Etienne are a free-scoring outfit though, and will cause plenty of trouble for their visitors in this enticing-looking final day encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 12.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawValenciennes
69% (-0.703 -0.7) 18.82% (0.307 0.31) 12.17% (0.392 0.39)
Both teams to score 47.5% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.367 -0.37)44.17% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (-0.358 -0.36)66.55% (0.355 0.36)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)11.69% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.21% (-0.633 -0.63)36.78% (0.631 0.63)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.79% (0.435 0.44)46.21% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.12% (0.335 0.33)81.88% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 69%
    Valenciennes 12.17%
    Draw 18.82%
Saint-EtienneDrawValenciennes
2-0 @ 12.44% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 8.9% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.78% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.05% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 69%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.146 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 18.82%
0-1 @ 4.17% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.17%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Valenciennes

Saint-Etienne
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Valenciennes
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 6pm
gameweek 5
Valenciennes
2-2
St Etienne
Zinga (26'), Cuffaut (90+3' pen.)
Picouleau (8'), Lecoeuche (17'), Vandenabeele (60')
Macon (30'), Krasso (48')
Sow (39'), Mouton (49'), Bouchouari (69'), Krasso (77'), Rivera (87')
Feb 1, 2014 7pm
Sep 14, 2013 7pm
Apr 12, 2013 7.30pm
Nov 23, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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