Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38

Jun 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
2 - 0
Valenciennes

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 2 clash between Saint-Etienne and Valenciennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Caen 2-2 St Etienne
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valenciennes

All competitions

Last Game: Valenciennes 1-0 Grenoble
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 12.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Valenciennes
69% ( -0.7)	18.82% ( 0.31)	12.17% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82% (

-0.37)

44.17% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45% (

-0.36)

66.55% (

0.36)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.31% (

-0.29)

11.69% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.21% (

-0.63)

36.78% (

0.63)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.79% (

0.44)

46.21% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.12% (

0.33)

81.88% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 69%

Valenciennes 12.17%

Draw 18.82%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Valenciennes
2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 69%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.76% Total : 18.82%	0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.17%