Ligue 2 Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2026 7.45pm
Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier HSC vs Red Star - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2026 7.45pm
Rodez AF 0 - 3 Montpellier
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Nicolas Pays

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 7.00pm
Red Star 0 - 1 St Etienne
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Damien Durand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Red Star has a probability of 36.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Red Star win is 1-2 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.95%).

Result

Montpellier HSC 37.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.19% ▼ (-0.10)
Red Star 36.5% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.21% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 53.49% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 46.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 31.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 68.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 17.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.52% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Montpellier HSC 33.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 41.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Red Star 24.44% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Montpellier HSC 49.66% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 6.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Red Star 43.88%

Corners

Over 8 51.08% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 37.18% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 9 39.72% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 9 11.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 48.92% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 29.6% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 10.5 70.4% ▲ (+0.22)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 1.5 39.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5 71.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 38.81% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 61.19% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 16.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.57% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 37.31%
Draw 26.2%
Red Star 36.5%
Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 8.59%
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.01%
Total : 37.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.2%
Red Star
1-2 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.77%
Other @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.5%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 34
May 9, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Paris
  • Kévin Cabral 43' goal
  • Abdelsamad Hachem 64' yellowcard
  • Hacène Benali 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Haag 68' yellowcard
  • Pape Meïssa Ba 78' yellowcard
  • Pape Meïssa Ba 79' yellowcard
  • Saîf-Eddine Khaoui 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Théo Sainte-Luce 60'
  • yellowcard Robin Thiland-Herard 60'
  • yellowcard Nathanaël Mbuku 61'
  • yellowcard Naoufel El Hannach 72'
  • yellowcard Téji Savanier 73'
  • goal Nicolas Pays 88'
Ligue 2
Aug 9, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT