Ligue 2 Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier HSC vs Grenoble - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 7.00pm
Reims 1 - 1 Montpellier
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Yaël Mouanga

Grenoble

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 7.00pm
Grenoble 1 - 1 Clermont
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Yadaly Diaby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Grenoble has a probability of 24.97% and a draw has a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Grenoble win is 1-2 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.08%).

Result

Montpellier HSC 51.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Grenoble 24.97% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.65% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.79%
Under 1.5 23.21%
Over 2.5 53.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.88% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Montpellier HSC 41.03%
Draw 40.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Grenoble 18.14%

Team To Score First

Montpellier HSC 60.62% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Grenoble 32.98%

Corners

Over 8 55.44%
Equal 8 11.68%
Under 8 32.88%
Over 9 43.79%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 44.56%
Over 10.5 33.11%
Under 10.5 66.89%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 1.5 48.88%
Under 1.5 51.12%
Over 2.5 23.72%
Under 2.5 76.28%
Over 3.5 9.41%
Under 3.5 90.59%

Grenoble Goals

Over 0.5 60.34%
Under 0.5 39.66%
Over 1.5 27.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 72.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.13% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 51.21%
Draw 23.81%
Grenoble 24.96%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-0 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 2.92%
Other @ 9.35%
Total : 51.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 23.81%
Grenoble
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.96%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 31
Apr 17, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Enzo Molebe 25' goal
  • Yanis Issoufou 64' yellowcard
  • Khalil Fayad 65' yellowcard
  • Julien Laporte 71' goal
  • Téji Savanier 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mincarelli 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaquil Delos 64'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Mion 64'
  • yellowcard Ugo Bonnet 64'
  • yellowcard Nesta Zahui 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bernadou 72'
  • yellowcard Nesta Zahui 73'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bernadou 73'
  • yellowcard Samba Diba 79'
  • goal Ugo Bonnet 90'
Ligue 2
Dec 13, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nesta Elphege 81' goal
  • goal Teji Savanier 62'
  • yellowcard Theo Chennahi 86'