Ligue 2 Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2026 7.00pm
Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier HSC vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 1.00pm
Annecy 0 - 3 Montpellier
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Nicolas Pays

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 7.00pm
Metz 1 - 3 Pau
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Pape Moussa Fall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw has a probability of 25.53% and a win for Metz has a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.51%) , while for a Metz win it is 0-1 (6.5%).

Result

Montpellier HSC 52.41% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 25.53% ▼ (-0.17)
Metz 22.02% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.56% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.15% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 25.85% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 50.13% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 49.87% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 28.12% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 71.88% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 4.5 16.08% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 83.92% ▼ (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Montpellier HSC 41.03% ▲ (+0.42)
Draw 39.67% ▼ (-0.23)
Metz 19.3% ▼ (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Montpellier HSC 58.36% ▲ (+0.51)
No Goal 7.52% ▼ (-0.13)
Metz 34.12% ▼ (-0.40)

Corners

Over 8 54.56% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 8 11.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 33.73% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 9 42.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.6% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 9 45.44% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 10.5 32.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 67.59% ▲ (+0.04)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 1.5 48.8% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 51.2% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 22.84% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 77.16% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 9.01% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 90.99% ▼ (-0.19)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 57.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 42.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 52.42%
Draw 25.53%
Metz 22.03%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 52.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.53%
Metz
0-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.03%

Head to Head

Coupe de France
Jan 11, 2026 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Benjamin Stambouli 59' yellowcard
  • Maxime Colin 59' yellowcard
  • Joel Asoro 59' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Stambouli 60' yellowcard
  • Joel Asoro 63' yellowcard
  • Morgan Bokele Mputu 66' yellowcard
  • Morgan Bokele Mputu 67' yellowcard
  • Believe Munongo 74' yellowcard
  • Believe Munongo 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teji Savanier 8'
  • goal Yanis Ali Issoufou 21'
  • goal Enzo Tchato Mbiayi 46'
  • goal Nicolas Pays 64'
  • yellowcard Khalil Fayad 67'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Da Silva 87'
  • yellowcard Naoufel El Hannach 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Issiaga Sylla 3' goal
  • Boubakar Kouyate 13' yellowcard
  • Modibo Sagnan 30' yellowcard
  • Modibo Sagnan 50' goal
  • Becir Omeragic 69' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 86' goal
  • yellowcard Laszlo Boloni 14'
  • yellowcard Joel Asoro 78'
  • yellowcard Fali Cande 83'
  • yellowcard Lamine Camara 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Pape Diallo 53' yellowcard
  • Matthieu Udol 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Maxime Esteve 9'
  • yellowcard Christopher Jullien 74'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Lecomte 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 35
May 1, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ambroise Oyongo 29' yellowcard
  • Leo Leroy 58' yellowcard
  • Arnaud Souquet 79' goal
  • Elye Wahi 90'+1' goal
  • goal Thomas Delaine 24'
  • yellowcard Vincent Pajot 51'
  • yellowcard Pape Sarr 66'
  • yellowcard Didier Lamkel Ze 68'
  • goal Louis Mafouta 70'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 1, 2021 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Pape Sarr 34' yellowcard
  • Dylan Bronn 36' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de Preville 70' goal
  • goal Teji Savanier 36'
  • goal Stephy Mavididi 45'+1'
  • goal Elye Wahi 48'
  • yellowcard Florent Mollet 72'
  • yellowcard Mihailo Ristic 83'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2021 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John Boye 9' yellowcard
  • Aaron Leya Iseka 33' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 47' goal
  • Habib Maiga 74' yellowcard
  • Fabien Centonze 76' yellowcard
  • Dylan Bronn 82' yellowcard
  • Thierry Ambrose 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Congre 58'
  • goal Gaetan Laborde 70'