Ligue 2 Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz vs Pau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Oct 23, 2026 7.00pm
Dunkerque 1 - 1 Metz
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Pape Moussa Fall

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Oct 23, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 2 - 1 Grenoble
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Babacar Leye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metz win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw has a probability of 25.32% and a win for Pau has a probability of 24.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Pau win it is 0-1 (6.59%).

Result

Metz 50.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.32%
Pau 24.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.55%
Under 2.5 47.45%
Over 3.5 30.97%
Under 3.5 69.03%
Over 4.5 17.79%
Under 4.5 82.21%

First Half Winner

Metz 39.33%
Draw 42.58%
Pau 18.09%

Team To Score First

Metz 63.58% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Pau 29.76%

Corners

Over 8 59.12%
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 29.05%
Over 9 46.96%
Equal 9 12.16%
Under 9 40.88%
Over 10.5 35.55%
Under 10.5 64.45%

Metz Goals

Over 1.5 48.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.44%
Under 2.5 76.56%
Over 3.5 9.01%
Under 3.5 90.99%

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 61.01%
Under 0.5 38.99%
Over 1.5 27.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 9.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.49% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Metz 50.5%
Draw 25.31%
Pau 24.22%
Metz
1-0 @ 10.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 50.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.31%
Pau
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 24.22%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 32
Apr 26, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
  • Pathe Mboup 73' goal
  • Tairyk Arconte 83' goal
  • Antoine Mille 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alpha Toure 51'
  • yellowcard Ismael Traore 53'
  • goal Pape Diallo 79'
  • yellowcard Ibou Sane 80'
  • yellowcard Sadibou Sane 80'
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Lo 81'
  • yellowcard Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 87'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Aboubacar Lo 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Ruiz 13'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Ahoussou 34'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mayron George 79' goal
  • goal Jerome Prior 58' (OG)
Ligue 2 Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Amadou Dia Ndiaye 11' goal