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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 34
May 10, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
5 - 1
Martigues

Junior Kroupi (45+1', 65'), Soumano (63', 90+3'), Makengo (87')
Yongwa (40'), Junior Kroupi (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tlili (58')
Solvet (51')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Lorient and Martigues.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 2-1 Lorient
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Martigues

All competitions
Last Game: Martigues 1-1 Paris FC
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 84.32%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 4.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.06%) and 4-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.08%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMartigues
84.32% (-0.298 -0.3)10.7% (0.13 0.13)4.98% (0.1639 0.16)
Both teams to score 43.8% (0.747 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.56% (0.211 0.21)30.44% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.28% (0.255 0.25)51.72% (-0.259 -0.26)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.88% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)5.12% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)20.35% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Martigues Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.16% (0.793 0.79)53.84% (-0.798 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.83% (0.484 0.48)87.17% (-0.48899999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 84.32%
    Martigues 4.98%
    Draw 10.7%
LorientDrawMartigues
2-0 @ 12.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-0 @ 12.06% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-0 @ 8.96% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.55% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
5-0 @ 5.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-1 @ 3.3% (0.025 0.03)
6-0 @ 2.64% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.055 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 84.32%
1-1 @ 5.08% (0.056 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.33% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 10.7%
0-1 @ 1.71% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 1.57% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 4.98%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Martigues
0-1
Lorient
Dieng (61')