Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 43.32%. A draw had a probability of 31.21% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.98%) , while for a Grenoble win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.