Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 32.03% | 27.27% | 40.7% |
| Both teams to score 49.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.02% | 55.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% | 77.07% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% | 32.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% | 68.85% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% | 27.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% | 62.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.03% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.7% |