Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lyon in this match.