Liga MX Gameweek 5
Aug 22, 2026 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 79' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 90' goal
  • yellowcard L. Calzadilla 29'
  • redcard L. Calzadilla 36'

Tigres vs Atlante - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 4.10am
Atlas 2 - 1 Tigres

Atlante

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 12.00am
Atlante 0 - 0 Toluca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.06% and a win for Atlante had a probability of 14.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%) , while for a Atlante win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Tigres 63.29% (+0.14)
Draw 22.06% (-0.05)
Atlante 14.65% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.19% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.55% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 25.45% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.78% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 48.22% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.68% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.32% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.47% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.53% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Tigres 45.31%
Draw 37.49%
Atlante 17.2%

Team To Score First

Tigres 62.58% (-0.03)
No Goal 7.54% (+0.04)
Atlante 29.88% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.9%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 30.84%
Over 9 46.42%
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 42.1%
Over 10.5 35.66%
Under 10.5 64.34%

Tigres Goals

Over 1.5 56.51% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.49% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 30.36% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 69.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.35% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.65% (-0.01)

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 47.81% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 52.19% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 17.54% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 82.46% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 4.78% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 95.22% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.28%
Under 3.5 98.72%

Score analysis

Tigres 63.28%
Draw 22.06%
Atlante 14.64%
Tigres
1-0 @ 12.9% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 11.36% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.15% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 13.22% (+0.01)
Total : 63.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.54% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.06%
Atlante
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.98% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 14.64%