Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.