Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Apr 21, 2025 at 12am UK

Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
0 - 4
Tijuana

Lozano (90+2'), Lozano (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Boya (16', 16'), Castaneda (30', 30'), Zuniga (53', 53', 89', 89')
Boya (47'), Boya (47')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos Laguna

All competitions

Last Game: Pumas 2-0 Santos Laguna
Thursday, April 17 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Club Tijuana

All competitions

Last Game: Mazatlan 0-2 Tijuana
Thursday, April 17 at 4am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Santos Laguna	Draw	Club Tijuana
37.64% ( -0.33)	23.61% ( -0.1)	38.74% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 62.97% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.07% (

0.5)

38.93% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.75% (

0.52)

61.25% (

-0.53)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09% (

0.06)

20.91% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.36% (

0.1)

53.63% (

-0.1)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

0.42)

20.38% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.2% (

0.67)

52.8% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Santos Laguna 37.65%

Club Tijuana 38.74%

Draw 23.6%

Santos Laguna	Draw	Club Tijuana
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.65%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 38.74%