Liga MX Gameweek 14
Oct 25, 2026 12.00am
Estadio León

Club Leon vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Leon

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 4.10am
Tigres 0 - 2 Club Leon
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Díber Cambindo

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2026 2.00am
Toluca 2 - 2 Tijuana
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Club Leon has a probability of 30.51% and a draw has a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Club Leon win is 2-1 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.03%).

Result

Club Leon 30.51% ▼ (-0.64)
Draw 25.01% ▲ (+0.07)
Toluca 44.47% ▲ (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.23% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.46% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 20.54% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 57.35% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 42.65% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 35.26% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 64.71% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 4.5 20.76% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 79.24% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Club Leon 23.9%
Draw 42.68%
Toluca 33.41%

Team To Score First

Club Leon 41.58% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Toluca 52.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.81%
Equal 8 10.66%
Under 8 25.53%
Over 9 52.42%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 36.19%
Over 10.5 41.25%
Under 10.5 58.75%

Club Leon Goals

Over 1.5 35.77% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 64.23% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 2.5 14.06% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 2.5 85.94% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 3.5 4.54% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.46% ▲ (+0.20)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 77.05% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 0.5 22.95% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 47.35% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 52.65% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 22.02% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 77.98% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 8.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.42% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Club Leon 30.52%
Draw 25.01%
Toluca 44.46%
Club Leon
2-1 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.11)
1-0 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 30.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.01%
Toluca
1-2 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 44.46%

Head to Head

Leagues Cup
Sep 3, 2026 2.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Shell Energy Stadium
  • Bruno Méndez 39' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 41' goal
  • Nicolás Castro 44' yellowcard
  • Federico Viñas 69' goal
  • Bruno Méndez 89' redcard
  • yellowcard Irving Martínez 26'
  • yellowcard Juan Guevara 39'
  • yellowcard Bryan Colula 75'
  • yellowcard Jhohan Romaña 75'
  • redcard Jhohan Romaña 75'
  • yellowcard Daniel Arcila 80'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Apr 26, 2026 2.05am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Sebastián Córdova 5' goal
  • Franco Romero 27' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 46' yellowcard
  • Jesús Gallardo 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 59' goal
  • Bruno Méndez 63' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Castro 72' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 73' goal
  • Nicolás Castro 76' goal
  • yellowcard Bryan Colula 46'
  • yellowcard Paul Bellón 46'
  • goal Díber Cambindo 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Daniel Arcila 56'
  • yellowcard Juan Domínguez 56'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Alvarado 70'
Liga MX
Oct 5, 2025 2.00am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Feb 9, 2025 1.00am
3
3
HT : 4 0
FT BC Place Stadium
  • Jhonder Cadiz 15' goal
  • Jhonder Cadiz 15' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 24' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 24' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 31' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 31' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 64' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 64' goal
  • Paul Bellon 90' yellowcard
  • Jaine Barreiro 90' yellowcard
  • Paul Bellon 90' yellowcard
  • Jaine Barreiro 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 38'
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 38'
  • goal Isaias Violante 50'
  • goal Isaias Violante 50'
  • goal Robert Morales 60'
  • goal Robert Morales 60'
  • goal Robert Morales 85'
  • goal Robert Morales 85'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 88'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 88'
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Paulinho 55' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 60' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 74' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 80' yellowcard
  • Bruno Mendez 81' redcard
  • Isaias Violante 84' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 87' goal
  • goal 10'
  • goal Stiven Mendoza 15'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Blanco 27'
  • goal Jose Alvarado 57'
  • yellowcard Adonis Frias 80'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Feb 3, 2024 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Juan Dominguez 17' goal
  • Federico Pereira 24' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 30' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45' yellowcard
  • Brian Garcia 48' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 79' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 86' goal
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 47'