Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.