Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.