Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 56.06%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.39%) and 0-1 (7.01%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.