Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.