Taca de Portugal
Oct 20, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
  • Marc Baro Ortiz 23' yellowcard
  • Marco Baixinho 33' goal
  • Daniel dos Anjos 52' yellowcard
  • Habib Sylla 64' yellowcard
  • Ryan Guilherme da Silva Pae 68' yellowcard
  • Daniel dos Anjos 79' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Aurelio 59'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 61'
  • goal Matheus Dias 66'
  • yellowcard Luis Esteves 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Penha 72'
  • yellowcard Ulisses 84'

Uniao de Leiria vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uniao de Leiria

All competitions

Nacional

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uniao de Leiria win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uniao de Leiria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uniao de Leiria would win this match.

Result

Uniao de Leiria 45.53% (+0.01)
Draw 25.7% (-0.04)
Nacional 28.77% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.66% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.94% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 51.06% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 27.08% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 72.91% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 12.7% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 87.29% (-0.08)

Uniao de Leiria Goals

Over 0.5 77.61% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 22.39% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 44.1% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 55.9% (-0.10)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 67.85% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 32.14% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 31.37% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 68.62% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Uniao de Leiria 45.53%
Draw 25.7%
Nacional 28.77%
Uniao de Leiria
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 45.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.7%
Nacional
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.94% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.77%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Jul 30, 2023 11.00am
3
3
HT : 3 1
ET Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
  • Jair Goncalves da Silva 11' goal
  • Bryan Rochez 37' goal
  • Marco Baixinho 38' yellowcard
  • Bura 45' goal
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Silva Goncalves 24'
  • yellowcard Joao Aurelio 35'
  • yellowcard Carlos Daniel 64'
  • goal Carlos Daniel 69'
  • goal Gustavo 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Gustavo 90'+3'