Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.73%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 4.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 4-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.01%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.