Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Hoffenheim
Despite Hoffenheim's four losses on the trot away from home, Matarazzo's troops should back themselves for maximum points against Darmstadt. Die Kraichgauer are undefeated in six matches against newly promoted clubs — four wins and two draws — securing four straight road triumphs against such opponents, potentially becoming five this weekend.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.43% . A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.75%) . The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%) . The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Hoffenheim 30.01% ( -0.03) 21.56% ( 0.64) 48.43% ( -0.61)
Both teams to score 68.13% ( -2.51)
68.87% ( -3.24) 31.12% ( 3.23)
47.47% ( -3.93) 52.53% ( 3.93)
78.74% ( -1.64) 21.26% ( 1.64)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.83% ( -2.61) 54.17% ( 2.6)
86.52% ( -1.36) 13.48% ( 1.36)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.51% ( -2.79) 40.49% ( 2.79)
SV Darmstadt 98 30.01%
Hoffenheim 48.43%
Draw 21.56%
SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Hoffenheim 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.01% 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.49) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.56% 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.72) 2-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.16) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.22) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.43%
How you voted: Darmstadt vs Hoffenheim
SV Darmstadt 98
Draw
Hoffenheim
41
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-17 11:08:23
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