Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.