Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Shields in this match.