Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sibenik win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sibenik win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Osijek win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.