League One Gameweek 38
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Taylor Perry 48' goal
  • Aaron Pierre 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyler Bindon 21'
  • goal Lewis Wing 34'
  • yellowcard Manadi Camara 39'
  • yellowcard Charlie Savage 44'
  • goal Kelvin Ehibhaimha 53'
  • goal Chem Campbell 72'

Shrewsbury Town vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 1 Cambridge
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
John Marquis

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 12.30pm
Reading 1 - 0 Wycombe
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Harvey Knibbs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result

Shrewsbury Town 33.06% (+0.49)
Draw 26.73% (+0.20)
Reading 40.2% (-0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.33% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.35% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 53.65% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 24.85% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 75.15% (+0.59)
Over 4.5 11.26% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 88.73% (+0.38)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.54% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 30.46% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.33% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.66% (+0.03)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 73.8% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 26.19% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 38.71% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 61.29% (+0.93)

Score analysis

Shrewsbury Town 33.06%
Draw 26.73%
Reading 40.2%
Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 9.49% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 7.55% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.64% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.98% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.73%
Reading
0-1 @ 10.68% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.2%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 16
Feb 11, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Chem Campbell 16' yellowcard
  • Jayden Wareham 28' goal
  • yellowcard Taylor Perry 51'
  • goal Taylor Perry 56'
League One Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Sam Smith 9' goal
  • Andy Yiadom 19' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 36' goal
  • Lewis Wing 79' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 90' yellowcard
  • Clinton Mola 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Shipley 3'
  • goal Tom Bayliss 5'
  • yellowcard Malvind Benning 32'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinchy 49'
  • goal Tom Bloxham 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bowman 59'
  • yellowcard Nohan Kenneh 65'
  • yellowcard Jordan Shipley 74'
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Marko Marosi 15' yellowcard
  • Matthew Taylor 16' yellowcard
  • Tom Bayliss 33' goal
  • Chey Dunkley 90'+2' goal
  • Jason Sraha 90'+6' goal
  • Jason Sraha 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Smith 12'
  • goal Dominic Ballard 15'
  • yellowcard David Button 69'
  • yellowcard Sam Hutchinson 78'