Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.