Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.