Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Scotland win it was 2-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.