Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 84.11%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 5.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 4-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.