Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.