League One Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Cameron Humphreys 15' yellowcard
  • Steve Evans 16' yellowcard
  • Mallik Wilks 34' goal
  • Reece James 45'+6' goal
  • Sam Nombe 75' goal
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 33'
  • goal John McAtee 86'

Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
Huddersfield 0 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
Exeter 1 - 2 Bolton
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result

Rotherham United 37.82% (-0.28)
Draw 26.25% (+0.10)
Bolton Wanderers 35.93% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.37% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.74% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 51.25% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 26.91% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 73.09% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 12.59% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 87.41% (+0.23)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 73.6% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 26.4% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 38.44% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 61.55% (+0.45)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 72.51% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 27.48% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 37.01% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 62.98% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 37.82%
Draw 26.25%
Bolton Wanderers 35.93%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 9.66% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 37.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.26% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 9.37% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 8.06% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.05% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.93%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Michael Smith 40' goal
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 53' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 74' goal
  • Michael Smith 84' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 42'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 43'
  • yellowcard Joel Dixon 68'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 83'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Oladapo Afolayan 64' yellowcard
  • Jordan Williams 89' yellowcard
  • Gethin Jones 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 6'
  • goal Ben Wiles 18'
  • goal Ben Wiles 21'
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 51'
  • yellowcard Wes Harding 79'
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2020 3.00pm
Macron Stadium
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2019 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Ben Wiles 14' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 27' goal
  • Jamie Lindsay 37' yellowcard
  • Carlton Morris 40' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 53' goal
  • Carlton Morris 55' goal
  • Jake Hastie 65' goal
  • Matt Crooks 77' yellowcard
  • goal Thibaud Verlinden 4'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • Sammy Ameobi 33' goal
  • Marc Wilson 51' yellowcard
  • Gary O'Neil 65' goal
  • Joe Williams 98' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clark Robertson 13'
  • goal Will Vaulks 37'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 20, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium (Rotherham, South Yorkshire)
  • Will Vaulks 56' goal
  • Ryan Manning 81' yellowcard
  • Joe Mattock 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Lowe 24'
  • goal Christian Doidge 84'
  • yellowcard Joshua Vela 90'