Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.