/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frealog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
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Lewis Wing
77'
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Jay Rodriguez
53'
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Lyle Foster
71'
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Zian Flemming
100'
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Zian Flemming
109'
Reading vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Reading
35.28%
▼
(-0.22)
Draw
27.36%
▲
(+0.07)
Burnley
37.36%
▲
(+0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
49.73%
▼
(-0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.16%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
55.84%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 3.5
23.04%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
76.96%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 4.5
10.14%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
89.86%
▲
(+0.14)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5
69.88%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
30.12%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
33.74%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
66.26%
▲
(+0.33)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
71.15%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
28.84%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
35.29%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
64.7%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Reading
35.27%
Draw
27.36%
Burnley
37.36%
Reading
1-0
@
10.42%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 35.27%
2-1 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 35.27%
Draw
1-1
@
12.96%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
Burnley
0-1
@
10.8%
▲
(+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.36%
1-2 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.36%