/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
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Luuk de Jong
11'
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Guus Til
16'
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Kodai Sano
9'
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Dirk Proper
75'
PSV Eindhoven vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F31%2Fpeter-bosz.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
PSV Eindhoven
73.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
14.96%
▼
(-0.01)
NEC
11.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
59.82%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.66%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
27.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
52.09%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
47.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
32.68%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
67.32%
▼
(-0.04)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
93.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
6.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
76.1%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
23.9%
▼
(-0.03)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
63.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
36.11%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
27.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
72.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
PSV Eindhoven
73.68%
Draw
14.96%
NEC
11.36%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1
@
8.88%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.94%
Total : 73.68%
2-0 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.94%
Total : 73.68%
Draw
1-1
@
6.45%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52%
0-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 14.96%
2-2 @ 4.52%
0-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 14.96%
NEC
1-2
@
3.29%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 11.36%
0-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 11.36%