Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.