Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.