Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.