Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.