Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 66.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.